Belmont Stakes Week: Horse Racing Pick Longshot for Thursday – 6/9

Looking for a little action prior to the juicy selection of races on Saturday?  Perhaps Race 8 on Thursday offers an interesting possibility for a long shot to make some noise.  Maybe this one can be used on multi-race exotics and vertical wagers or however you choose if at all.

Race 8 – The Intercontinental F&M 4YO and Up 7F (Turf)


2 – Distorted Beauty


15/1 morning line

Here’s a few reasons why this horse might run well here:

Late Speed/Distance/Surface/Pattern

  • Horse tailed off running around two turns last fall and has been off since late November. Needed the break and comes back in a one turn turf sprint but at a challenging sprint distance of 7F which fits her well
  • She came off the bench last year at Belmont going 6F and ran a 90 fig and won going away.
  • Trainer is 20% off a 180+ layoff and 24% overall in Stakes
  • Has the stamina and route/sprint type of angle that can often work well in 6.5F or 7F turf sprints especially when there is pace to set up her late kick
  • 5/7 lifetime in the exacta on the Belmont green
  • Same race last year closed for 3rd comments state “traffic upper, 6p 1/8”

This isn’t knocking these other horses but here’s a few thoughts on why some of the favorites could be beatable here:

1 – Definitely has the speed figs to compete no doubt but distance is the question.  Last out going shorter she coughed it up late and now she goes 7/8ths.  Best fig ever run was at just 5F.  Down the hill at SA masks the distance challenge possibly.

3 – Miss ran just 11 days ago and got worn down late up front.  No edge on figs but could be competitive but boy that is coming back real quick.

8 – Probably the heavy chalk and won this last year.  Off the bench last out was ok but a bit even late.  Aside from her two races last year running 96 and 97 would you see her as a monster here?


Belmont Stakes Day TICKETS here:

Saratoga Race Course TICKETS here:

Breeders Cup TICKETS here:

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