Belatedly, MLB Addresses Outbreak by Sidelining Marlins and Phillies
Said MLB in a statement, “Given the current circumstances, MLB believes that it is most prudent to allow the Marlins time to focus on providing care for their players and planning their baseball operations for a resumption early next week.”
Via the Washington Post‘s Dave Sheinin, Nationals manager Dave Martinez said of the vote, “We all decided that it was probably unsafe to go there. It had nothing to do with the Miami Marlins. It was all about Miami and the state of Florida. This pandemic. [Players] didn’t feel safe.”
Whether or not MLB took the Nationals’ point of view into account, the postponement of the series makes sense in light of the circumstances.
As for the Phillies, they have not had any players or coaches test positive in the most recent batch of tests, though ESPN’s Marly Rivera reported that a member of the visiting clubhouse staff at Citizens Bank Park tested positive in a previous round of testing over the weekend. The team was scheduled to play four games against the Yankees this week — Monday and Tuesday in Philadelphia, Wednesday and Thursday in New York — but those games have all been postponed as well. The Phillies will resume play on Friday at Citizens Bank Park against the Blue Jays, though they will bat as the visiting team, since the Jays’ temporary new home, Buffalo’s Sahlen Field, is not yet ready for prime time.
Meanwhile, the Yankees will head to Baltimore to play the Orioles on Wednesday and Thursday, “in order to create more scheduling flexibility later in the season,” according to MLB. The league added that additional scheduling during the week of August 3rd would be announced later this week, which Sheinin suggested “probably hints at the Phillies’ scheduled series in Miami on Aug. 4-6 against the Marlins being either moved or postponed; in the event of the latter, the Phillies instead could make up the games against the Yankees that were postponed this week.”
The pause in play will not only allow the testing protocol to identify any additional players or personnel who are infected but also allow the Marlins to remake their roster, perhaps with additional players from outside the organization — they’ve already added relievers Josh D. Smith, Justin Shafer, and Mike Morin off waivers thus far this week, and reported signed Logan Forsythe — as well as ones from their 60-man pool (thankfully, all of the players at their alternate site in Jupiter, Florida have tested negative thus far). How long those players will be tasked with subbing for two members of the starting rotation (Sandy Alcantara and Jose Urena) and four lineup regulars (Jorge Alfaro, Garrett Cooper, Harold Ramirez, and Miguel Rojas), all of whom have reportedly tested positive and whose recoveries are not yet confirmed, is unclear.
The hope is that the team can make up most of the postponed games, but that may not be possible, and it appears that the league has reached the same conclusion I did regarding the possibility of teams play differing numbers of games:
Heard MLB would like to get 60-game season in for all teams, but not wedded to it. If some teams play 58, 56, 55, etc, winning pct would determine playoff spots.
— Joel Sherman (@Joelsherman1) July 28, 2020
The Marlins’ entire traveling party is currently self-quarantining in a Philadelphia hotel. Those who tested positive must remain there and self-quarantine for 14 days, according to MLB’s 2020 Operations Manual. The Miami Herald‘s Jordan McPherson and Barry Jackson have reported that Miami-Dade mayor Carlos Gimenez said on Tuesday that everyone in the traveling party — including those who tested negative — would additionally have to self-quarantine for 14 days upon returning to Florida. The final say on that rests with governor Ron DeSantis, who had previously excepted sports teams traveling to and from Florida with regards to the quarantine, but may need to revisit that exemption in light of the Marlins’ exposure. DeSantis’ bravado and insistence upon reopening the state in late May has played a major part in Florida’s failure to contain the spread of COVID-19. The state’s total case count surpassed that of New York earlier this week and is second in the U.S. behind California.
The volume and severity of the Marlins’ outbreak and its impact upon the infected individuals should not be ignored. But leaving aside for a moment the issue of their quarantining and compliance with league rules and local regulations, MLB’s new course is at least a significant improvement upon its previous plan, which Oxford College of Emory University epidemiologist Zachary Binney called “absolutely insane” and “the literal stupidest possible plan” given the possibility of players testing negative but incubating the virus. Binney found the new timeline more favorable but not without concerns:
Friday is a *bit* earlier than I’d like to see PHI back, but if you’re able to get test results from Thursday, and don’t see any cases by then, this probably isn’t super dangerous.
Bonus points if you do rapid tests Friday, too (or get same-day PCRs back from the Rutgers lab). https://t.co/tfu8zZYUnO
— Zachary Binney, PhD (@zbinney_NFLinj) July 28, 2020
On the news that thus far no Phillies players have tested positive in connection to their exposure to the Marlins, he wrote, “It’s unconditionally good news that no one is sick yet!” while adding, “Infections could’ve been transmitted from Marlins any time from Fri-Sun. Meaning Phillies players could test positive as early as Monday (when these tests were done), but also easily not until Thursday or Friday.”
For the Marlins and Phillies, it could be a long several days as they wait to be clear of further infections and return to play. MLB, for its part, pointed out in its statement that of the 6,400 tests conducted since last Friday, no player on any of the other 29 teams tested positive. As we’ve seen over the past couple of days, however, it only takes a few positive tests from a single team to send the entire season into chaos.
