The White Sox’s Advantage
The White Sox have a fine offense against right-handed pitchers, with a 106 wRC+, but their 143 wRC+ against southpaws was first in the majors this season:
Team | Season | Half | PA | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees | 2019 | 2nd Half | 889 | 152 |
San Francisco Giants | 2003 | 2nd Half | 479 | 146 |
Chicago White Sox | 2020 | Short Season | 506 | 143 |
Detroit Tigers | 2020 | Short Season | 400 | 142 |
New York Yankees | 2004 | 1st Half | 1019 | 136 |
Detroit Tigers | 2017 | 2nd Half | 654 | 134 |
Philadelphia Phillies | 2007 | 2nd Half | 900 | 133 |
St. Louis Cardinals | 2003 | 1st Half | 914 | 132 |
Houston Astros | 2019 | 1st Half | 927 | 132 |
Los Angeles Angels | 2014 | 1st Half | 1116 | 132 |
Cleveland Indians | 2008 | 2nd Half | 751 | 132 |
Los Angeles Angels | 2013 | 2nd Half | 765 | 132 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 2015 | 1st Half | 812 | 131 |
Los Angeles Angels | 2012 | 2nd Half | 736 | 131 |
Houston Astros | 2019 | 2nd Half | 872 | 131 |
San Francisco Giants | 2002 | 1st Half | 763 | 130 |
Cincinnati Reds | 2011 | 1st Half | 734 | 130 |
New York Yankees | 2007 | 2nd Half | 738 | 130 |
Last year, the Yankees crushed lefties; Barry Bonds and the Giants did the same back in 2003. Those are the only clubs with half-seasons better than the White Sox’s 2020. Even if we look at every two-month period since 2002, the White Sox still do pretty well:
Team | Season | Months | PA | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
San Francisco Giants | 2002 | April-May | 346 | 163 |
New York Yankees | 2019 | July-August | 686 | 162 |
Chicago White Sox | 2020 | July-August | 347 | 161 |
Cincinnati Reds | 2011 | April-May | 342 | 158 |
Philadelphia Phillies | 2007 | July-August | 602 | 157 |
New York Yankees | 2019 | August-September | 670 | 156 |
Detroit Tigers | 2020 | August-September | 347 | 154 |
Atlanta Braves | 2004 | July-August | 616 | 152 |
Detroit Tigers | 2017 | June-July | 496 | 152 |
San Diego Padres | 2012 | August-September | 561 | 151 |
Los Angeles Angels | 2012 | June-July | 576 | 151 |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 2017 | May-June | 485 | 151 |
The White Sox were closer to average in September, but their first month-plus was fire and even with a so-so close to the season, they managed to lead baseball. The small number of plate appearances can seem a little flukey. Here are the team’s individual players with at least 20 plate appearances against lefties this season:
Name | PA | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Anderson | 55 | .509 | 1.000 | 300 |
James McCann | 36 | .528 | .714 | 236 |
Yasmani Grandal | 37 | .405 | .500 | 147 |
Jose Abreu | 57 | .316 | .558 | 135 |
Eloy Jimenez | 46 | .304 | .556 | 132 |
Nomar Mazara | 26 | .385 | .417 | 127 |
Luis Robert | 51 | .353 | .455 | 123 |
Adam Engel | 35 | .343 | .424 | 114 |
Yoan Moncada | 46 | .370 | .333 | 105 |
Edwin Encarnacion | 41 | .275 | .424 | 92 |
Danny Mendick | 34 | .265 | .355 | 70 |
Nick Madrigal | 22 | .227 | .227 | 22 |
If we zoom out, Tim Anderson’s numbers versus lefties were actually the best in baseball this year:
Name | PA | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Anderson | 55 | .509 | 1.000 | 300 |
Nelson Cruz | 51 | .549 | .907 | 283 |
Jose Ramirez | 67 | .478 | .930 | 264 |
Marcell Ozuna | 54 | .463 | .867 | 234 |
Rhys Hoskins | 55 | .509 | .732 | 223 |
Juan Soto | 56 | .429 | .780 | 209 |
Trea Turner | 64 | .453 | .732 | 208 |
Brandon Lowe | 60 | .417 | .720 | 206 |
AJ Pollock | 60 | .367 | .818 | 201 |
J.T. Realmuto | 54 | .500 | .591 | 197 |
Ketel Marte | 54 | .444 | .654 | 194 |
Christian Yelich | 72 | .431 | .638 | 180 |
Wil Myers | 70 | .386 | .656 | 176 |
Mark Canha | 56 | .482 | .500 | 176 |
Adalberto Mondesi | 55 | .345 | .698 | 174 |
Xander Bogaerts | 69 | .420 | .594 | 174 |
Anthony Rendon | 73 | .425 | .576 | 173 |
Willy Adames | 53 | .396 | .596 | 172 |
Max Stassi | 52 | .365 | .659 | 169 |
Jedd Gyorko | 57 | .404 | .644 | 166 |
Small samples might not mean a whole lot, but that list includes many of the best hitters in baseball. And it isn’t as if Anderson hasn’t hit lefties well before now. Here are the White Sox’s career numbers against lefties:
Name | 2020 PA vs. LHP | 2020 wRC+ vs. LHP | Career PA vs. LHP | Career wRC+ vs. LHP |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jose Abreu | 57 | 135 | 977 | 149 |
Tim Anderson | 55 | 300 | 630 | 133 |
Edwin Encarnacion | 41 | 92 | 1426 | 127 |
James McCann | 36 | 236 | 642 | 124 |
Luis Robert | 51 | 123 | 51 | 123 |
Yasmani Grandal | 37 | 147 | 823 | 115 |
Eloy Jimenez | 46 | 132 | 195 | 113 |
Yoan Moncada | 46 | 105 | 457 | 91 |
Adam Engel | 35 | 114 | 342 | 86 |
Nomar Mazara | 26 | 127 | 600 | 62 |
Danny Mendick | 34 | 70 | 51 | 54 |
Nick Madrigal | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Not only have the White Sox hit well against lefties this season, but most of the group has done so for longer stretches over the course of their careers. If Eloy Jimenez can’t play, the downgrade to Adam Engel is significant, but even Engel’s poor career numbers overall aren’t quite as bad against lefties. It’s not entirely clear that Edwin Encarnacion should be in the starting lineup at this stage of his career, and it’s possible that James McCann or a slightly hurt Jimenez might be a better fit. Mazara, the only lefty regular in the lineup with Moncada and Grandal switch-hitting, isn’t as good as these 26 plate appearances suggest, but it’s also probably a little premature to draw any conclusions about Nick Madrigal’s ability to hit lefties given the minuscule sample size. Even with an inexperienced Madrigal, an aging Encarnacion, and a possibly hurt Jimenez, the lineup is going to be a tough one for a left-handed pitcher to navigate.
Luzardo, Oakland’s pitcher in Game 1, isn’t some soft-tossing lefty. He throws a four-seamer and a two-seamer around 96 mph. He has a very good change, typical of left-handers who work well against righties, but he uses his curve plenty against righties, too. It’s a sweeping pitch in the low-to-mid-80s that comes inside to righties as it did here, against Carlos Correa:
Luzardo has wiped out lefties this year, but he won’t be able to do that against the White Sox. He’ll have to handle their righty-heavy lineup. It will be a very interesting matchup worth watching, as will the use of starter Sean Manaea and relievers Jake Diekman and Mike Minor. In a three-game series, tiny advantages can make a big difference, and the White Sox’s platoon advantage is quite large.
Craig Edwards can be found on twitter @craigjedwards.